Welcome Zeigh !
Did anyone actually answer your question? I'm skimmed through most of the responses, but didn't see a clear answer.
First let me ask, are you planning to do a line side tap? If you are not familiar, there are basically two different ways to connect your inverter to you house wiring. Either between the utilities (PoCo's) meter and the input breaker for your load center / panel board / breaker box (this is a "line side" tap). OR as one or more "load side" circuit breakers in your existing breaker panel (or a sub panel).
For larger installs "line side" taps are generally required and preferred, But some jurisdictions limit these. I have a line side tap for my 12kW system. While load side taps can be less expensive from an electrical wiring perspective, often installs are limited to ~7600W due to limitations in the bus bar current ratings in the panel board. Unless you have a large 400 amp panel -- which is rare.
Do you have normal USA residential wiring? 240 VAC Split-phase? 200amps?
Many / most residential jurisdictions require rapid shutdown (not sure if you're does or not) for residential roof mounted systems. Which inverter make/model are you looking at? And does it have a rapid shutdown capability, and if so with which panel level modules?
Solar Edge products (and to a lesser extent Enphase productions) have become very popular for these reasons due to panel level MPPT capabilities, panel level rapid shutdown, and enhanced monitoring and diagnostic capabilities. Other solutions exist which can be paired with conventional string inverters. But these are less common, nearly as expensive as Solar Edge, and often involve combining "dissimilar parts" from multiple manufacturers.
Different inverter MFG will "support" different degrees of over subscription before their warranties are voided. That is to say different DC to AC rations exceeding 1.0. There are a number of factors that come into play when deciding between a DC to AC ratio of 1.0 (aka no over subscription) to factors up to 1.3 or so. In most cases factors above 1.3 are not recommended, unless you have multiple roof faces, severe shading, or other factors which will strongly limit productivity or space it out through the day.
I'm not sure how you figured your 71.1% efficiency number. Perhaps here (www.solarpaneltilt.com/). But I think it will have much less of a negative impact than you are projecting.
I've never lived in AZ, but from my perspective (in NJ). It seems hot, dry, and very sunny most of the year. Given your Southern orientation, near perfect pitch, and likely solar irradiance values in excess of 1000W / Meter Squared over several hours per day . . .
I would expect that your panels will meet or exceed STC output wattages for at least a few hours per day during the cooler and sunnier parts of the year. As Mike90250, Ampster, and others have pointed out, as the temperature of the array increases it's productivity will decreased depending on the thermal coefficient of the panels you have selected. That is to say, throughout the day as your panels and roof warm up in the hot AZ sun, production for a given level of solar irradiance will be less when the system is hot than when it is cool(er).
But this is usually a fairly modest effect, unless your panels have a poor coefficient and your temperatures are very, very hot. Most panel thermal coefficients range from -0.75% /
Did anyone actually answer your question? I'm skimmed through most of the responses, but didn't see a clear answer.
First let me ask, are you planning to do a line side tap? If you are not familiar, there are basically two different ways to connect your inverter to you house wiring. Either between the utilities (PoCo's) meter and the input breaker for your load center / panel board / breaker box (this is a "line side" tap). OR as one or more "load side" circuit breakers in your existing breaker panel (or a sub panel).
For larger installs "line side" taps are generally required and preferred, But some jurisdictions limit these. I have a line side tap for my 12kW system. While load side taps can be less expensive from an electrical wiring perspective, often installs are limited to ~7600W due to limitations in the bus bar current ratings in the panel board. Unless you have a large 400 amp panel -- which is rare.
Do you have normal USA residential wiring? 240 VAC Split-phase? 200amps?
Many / most residential jurisdictions require rapid shutdown (not sure if you're does or not) for residential roof mounted systems. Which inverter make/model are you looking at? And does it have a rapid shutdown capability, and if so with which panel level modules?
Solar Edge products (and to a lesser extent Enphase productions) have become very popular for these reasons due to panel level MPPT capabilities, panel level rapid shutdown, and enhanced monitoring and diagnostic capabilities. Other solutions exist which can be paired with conventional string inverters. But these are less common, nearly as expensive as Solar Edge, and often involve combining "dissimilar parts" from multiple manufacturers.
Different inverter MFG will "support" different degrees of over subscription before their warranties are voided. That is to say different DC to AC rations exceeding 1.0. There are a number of factors that come into play when deciding between a DC to AC ratio of 1.0 (aka no over subscription) to factors up to 1.3 or so. In most cases factors above 1.3 are not recommended, unless you have multiple roof faces, severe shading, or other factors which will strongly limit productivity or space it out through the day.
I'm not sure how you figured your 71.1% efficiency number. Perhaps here (www.solarpaneltilt.com/). But I think it will have much less of a negative impact than you are projecting.
I've never lived in AZ, but from my perspective (in NJ). It seems hot, dry, and very sunny most of the year. Given your Southern orientation, near perfect pitch, and likely solar irradiance values in excess of 1000W / Meter Squared over several hours per day . . .
I would expect that your panels will meet or exceed STC output wattages for at least a few hours per day during the cooler and sunnier parts of the year. As Mike90250, Ampster, and others have pointed out, as the temperature of the array increases it's productivity will decreased depending on the thermal coefficient of the panels you have selected. That is to say, throughout the day as your panels and roof warm up in the hot AZ sun, production for a given level of solar irradiance will be less when the system is hot than when it is cool(er).
But this is usually a fairly modest effect, unless your panels have a poor coefficient and your temperatures are very, very hot. Most panel thermal coefficients range from -0.75% /
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